Tiger Woods is only 34 years old and will be 35 at the end of the year. So he has a lot of Golf left in him. I personally believe that he'll eventually beat it. I know he hasn't played well since he came back, but I believe it's going to take him a full year to find his game back.
In other words, I think he'll be back to his old self by the time of the 2011 Masters. I think he needs to find a new coach as well, he can't do this all by himself.
Tiger Woods is still in his prime, he's just hit a rough spot. Hes had a lot going on and anyone's performance would suffer. However, I believe if he keeps his training up he can easily put himself back into the spot he was before. And their is no doubt he will shatter Nicklaus' record. Hell, if it weren't for Tiger's previous absences (like his knee troubles last year), he wouldn't be in the same position either. Tiger still has alot going for him, don't count him out. I've had golf instructors who were seventy years old and beating guys not much younger than Tiger Woods (of course neither were pros), and then their are guys like Arnold Palmer still playing the game and still enjoying it. Sure they aren't winning as much but they still do good.
I agree with you guys that he'll probably break the record. It's well within reach and he probably has another good ten years or more to try to win them. Jack Nicklaus won his last major at 46, and Tiger is only 34. Sure, he's in a two year slump in the majors, but he also didn't win any majors in '03 or '04, and then won six of them in four years after that. I don't think we'll ever see Tiger at his best again though.
I personally believe that he will beat the record but he ain't gonna beat it by much, personally he'll probably get to 20 and probably that's about it. If he get's anymore than that I will be surprised.
He still as the passion to play, so I give him at least another fifteen years or so. By the time his career ends, he'll most likely just play in Majors. I personally believe he can win more than six majors in fifteen years with his ability and skill of the game of golf.