Hypothesis: Israel is resigned to fighting everyone around them for as long as they exist, so now they're trying to shape the kind of fighting they'll have to do. Argument: I know this seems opposite to what most people think, but in my mind, Israel's PR failures are at least partly intentional. They already knew they would lose the PR war no matter how well they actually did or how much they tried to avoid civilian casualties, so they didn't really try. Instead, they're doing everything they can to push Lebanon toward supporting Hezbollah so that it (Hezbollah) will be able to get control of the government. Once this is done, it will be brought out into the open and make Hezbollah officially accountable for its actions. The same thing has happened with Hamas. Now that Hamas is in control of Palestine, it and the people who elected it into power are accountable for its actions. It's not a group of numerous, uncontrollable guerillas, it represents the people and the state. They can't hide behind the excuse of, "We're sorry, there's nothing we can do about it but we're trying out best." Right now, Israel looks like a bully targeting innocent civilians, and in a way they are. But by pushing the people toward extremism, they're making their military efforts less asymmetrical, and making them wars Israel can win once again. In the past when Arab nations massed armies against them, Israel (with American weapons, yes) was extremely successful, much like America was extremely successful in destroying Iraqi armed forces during the initial invasion. Now that the American military is restrained and having to fight asymmetrically, it's much more difficult to "accomplish missions" if not impossible. Conclusion: Israel is screwing up the short term for the sake of the long term, fighting for ten or fifty years from now, because it wants to be around that long. As far as conspiracy theories go, it has the usual amount of evidence (read: none), but at least the reasoning isn't far-fetched, right?