This is a link to the overview of 2010 Senate elections: RealClearPolitics - 2010 Election Maps - Battle for the Senate Nobody really sees the House as competitive now and Republicans getting in is almost a sure bet. As of today, RCP is projecting 50 Dem seats, 46 Repub seats with 4 too close to call. Dick Morris made a lot of sense concerning polling data and mid-terms. His theory is that people go through a 2 point decision when deciding who to vote for. Q1: Am I going to vote for the incumbent? Q2: Am I going to vote for the challenger? By this point Q1 has been answered and any incumbent with less than 50% is in trouble. Using this theory, all of 4 toss ups would go to Republicans and NY would possibly go to Republicans also where Gillibrand is at 45%-48%. I expect we will see a 50-50 Senate and a Republican House. If Repubs get 51 or Dems get 51, it won't matter. Either way we are in for extreme gridlock for the next 2 years. I think gridlock is a fair representation of what America wants right now.